Raider Nation, it’s a new era. The Las Vegas Raiders are entering the 2025 NFL season with Geno Smith under center and Pete Carroll running the show. After last year’s disappointing 4–13 finish, the Raiders front office moved quick this offseason, bringing in proven leadership on both sides of the ball. Today we break down the Raiders 2025 record based on AI predictions.
Geno’s arrival brings veteran stability, and with new additions like Offensive guru Chip Kelley along with players like Raheem Mostert, Jeremy Chinn, and rookie standout Ashton Jeanty, the Silver & Black are aiming to flip the narrative in a stacked AFC West.
So what can we expect this season?
We ran the entire 2025 schedule through an AI simulator to predict the Raiders’ record, game-by-game results, and key performances.
Here’s how it played out.
Las Vegas Raiders 2025 Record & Game Predictions
AI Projected Record: 9–8
While it’s not a guaranteed playoff ticket, this simulated record shows real progress under the new regime. According to the AI model, the Raiders will win 6 of their 9 home games and struggle slightly on the road, especially in divisional matchups.
Below is the full breakdown.
Week 1 – at New England Patriots
Predicted Result: WIN (27–20)
Geno Smith delivers a clean opening performance. Maxx Crosby and the defense shut the door late.
Week 2 – vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Predicted Result: LOSS (24–28)
Classic AFC West battle. Raiders start strong, but Herbert puts together a game-winning drive.
Week 3 – at Washington Commanders
Predicted Result: WIN (26–17)
Balanced offense and a solid day for Jeanty on the ground. Carroll’s system shines on the road.
Week 4 – vs. Chicago Bears
Predicted Result: LOSS (21–23)
A trap game. Too many field goals, not enough red zone conversions.
Week 5 – at Indianapolis Colts
Predicted Result: WIN (30–14)
The O-line dominates. Davante Adams scores twice. Total team win.
Week 6 – vs. Tennessee Titans
Predicted Result: WIN (28–16)
Defense feasts on rookie mistakes. Geno finds Meyers for a deep TD.
Week 7 – at Kansas City Chiefs
Predicted Result: LOSS (20–31)
Mahomes is still Mahomes. Vegas can’t keep up in Arrowhead.
Week 8 – BYE WEEK
Midseason Record: 4–3
Week 9 – vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Predicted Result: WIN (24–20)
A full team effort. Geno outperforms Trevor Lawrence in crunch time.
Week 10 – at Denver Broncos
Predicted Result: LOSS (19–27)
Tough sledding in Denver. Ground game stalls, and the defense can’t close.
Week 11 – vs. Dallas Cowboys
Predicted Result: WIN (23–21)
Big win at home. Geno hits Bech for a clutch late score. Atmosphere goes off.
Week 12 – vs. Cleveland Browns
Predicted Result: WIN (27–24)
Tight game. Defense forces two turnovers. Mostert breaks free for a 50-yard run.
Week 13 – at Los Angeles Chargers
Predicted Result: LOSS (17–23)
Division rematch slips away in the final two minutes.
Week 14 – vs. Denver Broncos
Predicted Result: WIN (25–22)
Revenge game. Tre Tucker takes a punt to the house. Raiders get it done.
Week 15 – at Philadelphia Eagles
Predicted Result: LOSS (13–31)
Philly’s too deep. Geno gets sacked five times. Ugly one.
Week 16 – at Houston Texans
Predicted Result: WIN (28–17)
CJ Stroud plays well, but Raiders dominate time of possession and finish strong.
Week 17 – vs. New York Giants
Predicted Result: WIN (22–19)
Old-school football. Crosby seals the game with a 4th quarter strip-sack.
Week 18 – vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Predicted Result: LOSS (17–30)
Playoff hopes dashed by Mahomes again. But the team leaves it all on the field.
Final Projection: 9–8 — 2025 Raiders Record
- Home Record: 6–3
- Road Record: 3–5
- Divisional Record: 1–5
- Non-Conference Record: 3–1
Joey’s 2025 Raiders Hot Take
This season is all about rebuilding the Raider identity. With Geno Smith leading the offense, Pete Carroll returning to the sidelines, and foundational pieces like Crosby and Jeanty on both sides of the ball, the Raiders are positioned to make real noise in 2025—even if it’s not a playoff run just yet.
The AFC West remains brutal, but there’s real culture forming in Vegas.
Even though AI got the first game of the preseason incorrect, with the Seahawks and Raiders tying scores up at 23 all, Raider Nation rides regardless.
We’ll be watching every week.
Win or lose, we stay loyal.
